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What will be the outcome of the next major Russian attack on a Ukrainian city by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More than 50 casualties • 25%
Between 10 and 50 casualties • 25%
Less than 10 casualties • 25%
No casualties • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
Russian Forces Attack Zaporizhzhia, Killing 38-Year-Old Woman and 8-Year-Old Boy
Sep 3, 2024, 06:13 AM
Russian forces attacked Zaporizhzhia, southeastern Ukraine, with ballistic missiles last night, targeting a residential area. A hotel was hit in the attack, resulting in the deaths of a 38-year-old woman and her 8-year-old son. Additionally, two people were wounded, including a 12-year-old girl who sustained fractures and burns to 45% of her body. The father of the boy and the 12-year-old girl were also injured. A 43-year-old man was also injured. The attack involved rockets, airstrikes, and drones.
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Significant damage to infrastructure • 25%
Minimal damage to infrastructure • 25%
No significant damage reported • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Thwarted with no damage • 25%
Thwarted with minor damage • 25%
Successful with minor damage • 25%
Successful with major damage • 25%
Kyiv • 25%
Kharkiv • 25%
Dnipro • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority intercepted • 25%
Moderate interception • 25%
Few intercepted • 25%
None intercepted • 25%
Military base • 25%
Ammunition depot • 25%
Communication center • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Russian advances • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Ukrainian advances • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Kyiv • 25%
Kharkiv • 25%
Dnipro • 25%
Odesa • 25%
Kyiv • 25%
Lviv • 25%
Kryvyi Rih • 25%
Other • 25%
More than 90% drones intercepted, no missiles intercepted • 25%
More than 90% drones intercepted, at least one missile intercepted • 25%
Less than 90% drones intercepted, no missiles intercepted • 25%
Less than 90% drones intercepted, at least one missile intercepted • 25%