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What will be the outcome of the Israeli protests demanding Netanyahu's resignation by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Netanyahu remains in office • 25%
Early elections called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or The New York Times
Story
Israeli Protesters Block Highways on July 7, Demand Hostage Release and Netanyahu's Resignation
Jul 7, 2024, 10:00 AM
Protesters in Tel Aviv and across Israel have blocked highways on July 7, calling for the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in Gaza. The demonstrations mark nine months since the war in Gaza began. Protesters are demanding Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation and a ceasefire to facilitate the hostages' return. Police deployed water cannons to disperse the demonstrators, who had blocked the Ayalon Highway, causing significant traffic disruptions. The protests, part of traditional Saturday anti-government rallies, saw demonstrators burning car tires and gathering in front of the homes of government officials after a weekly rally on Kaplan Street.
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Netanyahu resigns • 33%
Government agrees to hostage deal • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Early elections are called • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Ceasefire deal reached • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Hostage exchange deal agreed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner exchange deal secured • 25%
Ceasefire announced • 25%
Both prisoner exchange deal and ceasefire • 25%
Neither • 25%
Kahanism removed from government • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir removed from position • 25%
Netanyahu makes concessions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
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Government resignation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Protests end without resignation • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Protests continue into 2025 • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Protests lead to a cease-fire deal • 25%
Protests lead to a change in government policy • 25%
Protests subside without major changes • 25%
Protests escalate into more violence • 25%