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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Paris Olympics disinformation campaign by November 30, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia officially implicated • 33%
Another country implicated • 33%
No official conclusion • 33%
Official investigation reports, credible news sources
Story
Russia Uses AI Deepfake Tom Cruise in Paris Olympics Disinformation Campaign
Jun 4, 2024, 10:11 AM
Russia has been implicated in an elaborate disinformation campaign targeting the Paris Olympics, utilizing a deepfake video of actor Tom Cruise. According to reports from various sources, including Bloomberg, The Hill, and ComputerWeekly, Russian bots and AI technology were employed to create and disseminate the fake video. Microsoft has identified the use of AI in these disinformation efforts, highlighting the growing sophistication of such campaigns.
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Confirmed involvement • 33%
No involvement • 33%
Inconclusive evidence • 34%
No wrongdoing found • 33%
Minor violations identified • 33%
Major violations identified • 33%
Investigation confirms Chinese involvement • 33%
Investigation finds no conclusive evidence • 33%
Investigation inconclusive or not completed • 34%
No further action • 25%
Security policy changes • 25%
Disciplinary actions taken • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
No interference • 33%
Interference by Russia • 33%
Interference by other foreign power • 33%
Putin directly involved • 25%
Senior Russian officials involved • 25%
No high-level involvement found • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No actionable findings • 33%
Minor infractions found • 33%
Major violations found • 34%
Additional arrests made • 33%
No further developments • 33%
Disruption of similar plots • 34%
No new investigation • 33%
Investigation finds significant omissions • 33%
Investigation finds no significant issues • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Warnings issued • 33%
Bans or penalties imposed • 34%
