Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Honolulu fireworks explosion by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Criminal activity • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Official statements from Honolulu Police Department or relevant investigation body
Story
At Least Two Dead, 22 Injured in New Year's Fireworks Explosion in Honolulu
Jan 1, 2025, 01:22 PM
At least two people were killed and 22 injured, including 20 in serious or critical condition, after a fireworks-related explosion in the Salt Lake-Aliamanu area of Honolulu, Hawaii, in the early hours of New Year's Day. Police have declared the explosion a major incident. First responders, including the Honolulu Police Department, Fire Department, and Emergency Medical Services, are on the scene providing care and security. Authorities have urged the public to avoid the area as they investigate the cause of the explosion, which occurred during New Year's celebrations.
View original story
Similar markets
Other cause • 25%
Accidental ignition • 25%
Deliberate act • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Suspicious • 25%
Safety violations found • 25%
No safety violations found • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Pending further investigation • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Intentional • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Non-terrorism violent crime charges • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Other • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Identified domestic group • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Suspect identified but not arrested • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Suspect arrested and charged • 25%
Other • 25%
Homemade explosives • 25%
No explosives found • 25%
Commercially available explosives • 25%