Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into the 155th Brigade by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Charges filed against leadership • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Reforms recommended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official report from the Ukrainian State Bureau of Investigation
Story
Ukraine Investigates 1,700 AWOL Soldiers in French-Trained 155th 'Anne of Kyiv' Brigade
Jan 2, 2025, 09:10 PM
Ukraine has launched a criminal investigation into the 155th Mechanized Brigade, also known as 'Anne of Kyiv,' following reports of widespread desertions and mismanagement. The brigade, which was partially trained and equipped by France, saw approximately 1,700 of its soldiers go AWOL before the unit was deployed to the front line near Pokrovsk. The investigation focuses on allegations of abuse of power and desertion, with the Ukrainian State Bureau of Investigation confirming the probe. The brigade, intended to be an elite unit, faced significant organizational chaos during its formation, with 2,500 soldiers being reassigned to other units and a lack of essential equipment such as drones and electronic warfare tools. About 50 soldiers deserted during training in France. The French Defense Ministry had trained about 2,000 of the brigade's 5,800 soldiers, and equipped them with advanced weaponry including French AMX-10 armored vehicles and Caesar howitzers. The brigade's commander was dismissed shortly after deployment, amid claims of poor leadership and inadequate preparation.
View original story
Similar markets
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Administrative error confirmed • 25%
Political interference confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reprimand or disciplinary action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Court-martial • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Unclear motives • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Blame assigned to another party • 25%
Blame assigned to Israeli forces • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Legal charges filed • 25%
Formal reprimand • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Gang identified and apprehended • 25%
Gang identified but not apprehended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agents exonerated • 25%
Agents reprimanded • 25%
Agents face criminal charges • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
No damage found • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Operational misconduct identified • 25%
Human rights violations identified • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Investigation concluded without charges • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Admits responsibility • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Blames external factors • 25%
Denies involvement • 25%