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What will be the outcome of the IDF's closed military zone declaration in Metula, Misgav Am, and Kfar Giladi by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Lifted without incident • 25%
Extended to additional areas • 25%
Resulted in armed conflict • 25%
Remains in place without major incident • 25%
Official announcements from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or verified news reports
Story
IDF Declares Closed Military Zone in Metula, Misgav Am, and Kfar Giladi Near Lebanon Border
Sep 30, 2024, 05:45 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have declared a closed military zone in the northern Israeli areas of Metula, Misgav Am, and Kfar Giladi, near the Lebanon border. This decision follows a situational assessment. The IDF has strictly prohibited entry into these areas in the Upper Galilee Region.
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IDF takes full control • 25%
Hezbollah retains control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Major evacuation • 25%
Partial evacuation • 25%
No significant evacuation • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Syrian military withdraws • 25%
No change in Syrian military presence • 25%
Increase in Syrian military presence • 25%
Syrian military takes retaliatory action • 25%
Increased hostilities with Hezbollah • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Full control established • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Withdrawal of IDF • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah launches successful retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%