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What will be the outcome of the IDF ground operation in Lebanon by November 8, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Operation concludes successfully • 25%
Operation concludes with partial success • 25%
Operation concludes without achieving objectives • 25%
Operation extended beyond November 8, 2024 • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli Defense Forces or credible news outlets
Story
IDF Ground Operation in Lebanon to Conclude Within Two Weeks Amid Heavy Losses
Oct 25, 2024, 06:54 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have announced that their ground operation in southern Lebanon is in its final stages and is expected to conclude within one to two weeks. Senior Israeli security officials have indicated that the operation has incurred heavy losses. The IDF may continue raids on Beirut until negotiations achieve their goals. The announcement, reported by Channel 11/Kann News, marks a significant phase in the ongoing conflict, with the IDF awaiting the outcome of talks to determine further actions.
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Successful with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful with significant casualties • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Major Success for Israel • 25%
Minor Success for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major Success for Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah launches successful retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Heavy casualties on both sides • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel withdraws without a cease-fire • 25%
Israel withdraws with a cease-fire • 25%
Israel continues the offensive • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful operation with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful operation with significant casualties • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Operation does not occur • 25%
Successful with minimal resistance • 25%
Successful with significant resistance • 25%
Unsuccessful and withdrawn • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major military victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major military victory for Hezbollah • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure significantly damaged • 25%
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah eliminated • 25%
Minimal impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
IDF takes full control • 25%
Hezbollah retains control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other • 25%