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What will be the outcome of the first major funding battle in Congress by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump administration prevails • 25%
Congress prevails • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Reports from major news outlets on the outcome of the funding battle
Story
Trump to Announce Treasury Secretary Imminently Amid Congressional Challenges and Bold Cabinet Plans for First 100 Days
Nov 21, 2024, 04:42 PM
Donald Trump is preparing to announce his pick for Treasury Secretary, with sources indicating that the decision has already been made. The announcement is expected imminently, as Trump aims to assemble a Cabinet that reflects a significant shift from his previous administration in 2016. This Cabinet is seen as bold, with a focus on appealing to a broader voter base, particularly after a notable shift among Latino voters towards Trump in the recent elections. However, the president-elect faces challenges ahead, including a potential funding battle and a slim majority in Congress, which could complicate his agenda during the crucial first 100 days of his administration. Trump has signaled a willingness to bypass Senate confirmation if necessary, especially in light of the controversial nature of some of his picks. The impact of his Treasury Secretary choice is particularly significant for markets, including Bitcoin and digital assets.
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Passed without amendments • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passes with Pay Raise • 25%
Passes without Pay Raise • 25%
Fails • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Bill passes with debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill passes without debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill fails • 25%
Alternative bill passed • 25%
Passes with majority Republican support • 25%
Passes with bipartisan support • 25%
Fails due to lack of support • 25%
Not brought to a vote • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Bipartisan Effort • 25%
Other • 25%
Government shutdown • 25%
Short-term CR passed • 25%
Long-term funding bill passed • 25%
Temporary extension passed • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Fails • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Passed without amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Funding bill passed with SAVE Act • 25%
Funding bill passed without SAVE Act • 25%
Temporary stopgap measure passed • 25%
Government shutdown • 25%
Pay Raise • 25%
Opting Out of Obamacare • 25%
Overall Spending • 25%
Other Provisions • 25%
NPR and PBS • 25%
Sanctuary cities • 25%
Other government-funded media • 25%
No major defunding achieved • 25%