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What will be the outcome of the first diplomatic incident involving the Australia-Nauru treaty by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolved amicably • 25%
Escalated to international forum • 25%
Led to treaty amendment • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
News reports from credible international outlets like BBC or Reuters
Story
Australia-Nauru Treaty Grants Veto Power to Counter China's Influence
Dec 9, 2024, 01:54 AM
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Nauru President David Adeang have signed a new treaty aimed at enhancing security and infrastructure in Nauru. The agreement includes provisions for Australia to invest in improving Nauru's police and security capabilities, as well as ensuring that third parties do not use critical infrastructure for security purposes. This treaty gives Australia veto power over Nauru's security and infrastructure partners, effectively countering China's growing influence in the region. The signing of this treaty marks a significant step in Canberra's strategy to bolster its presence in the Pacific, particularly in light of China's expanding regional activities.
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Unsuccessful • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
Delayed completion • 25%
Successful completion • 25%
Australia • 25%
Other • 25%
USA • 25%
China • 25%
Environmental • 25%
Security • 25%
Economic • 25%
Cultural • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Shift Towards Pro-Israel Position • 25%
Continued Support for Palestinian Statehood • 25%
Mauritius gains control • 25%
Shared governance • 25%
UK retains control • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
No change in conflict status • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Adoption of a pro-Israel stance • 25%
Further alignment with UN resolutions • 25%
Return to previous neutral stance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decreased Cooperation • 25%
Increased Cooperation • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other Changes • 25%