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What will be the outcome of the CMA investigation into Alphabet's partnership with Anthropic by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No action taken • 25%
Partnership modified • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
Official announcement or report from the UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA)
Story
UK's CMA Investigates Google-Parent Alphabet's Partnership with AI Startup Anthropic on July 30, 2024
Jul 30, 2024, 12:14 PM
The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has launched an investigation into Google-parent Alphabet's partnership with AI startup Anthropic. The probe, announced on July 30, 2024, aims to assess whether the collaboration between the two companies, which includes significant investments by Alphabet, could potentially harm competition in the burgeoning AI market. The CMA is gathering information from market players to determine if the partnership qualifies as a merger and if it poses any antitrust concerns. This early-stage investigation reflects the CMA's ongoing efforts to scrutinize major tech companies' activities and their impact on market dynamics.
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Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
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Withdrawn by Alphabet • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Minor adjustments recommended • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
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Approved with conditions • 25%
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Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
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Extended to Phase 2 • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Policy changes required • 25%
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Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Investigation extended • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Google implements changes • 25%
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Google wins appeal • 25%
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