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What will be the outcome of the Arm vs Qualcomm Nuvia dispute by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Qualcomm wins • 25%
Arm wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case unresolved by deadline • 25%
Court rulings or official settlement announcements
Story
Arm Gives Qualcomm 60-Day Notice to Cancel Architectural License Amid Nuvia Dispute
Oct 23, 2024, 02:06 AM
Arm Holdings is canceling an architectural license agreement that allowed longtime partner Qualcomm Inc. to use its intellectual property to design chips, escalating a legal dispute that began when Arm sued Qualcomm in 2022 over the Nuvia acquisition. Arm has given Qualcomm a 60-day notice of cancellation, threatening to disrupt the smartphone and PC markets—including AI PCs—as Qualcomm sells hundreds of millions of processors each year. The move could have significant ramifications for devices relying on Qualcomm's chips, such as those powered by the custom Oryon CPU. Following the news, Qualcomm's shares fell 4.8% in premarket trading.
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Arm wins the lawsuit • 25%
Qualcomm wins the lawsuit • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Settlement reached • 33%
No agreement, case retried • 33%
Case dropped by Arm • 34%
Settlement reached • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Arm • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Qualcomm • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Continued use in Snapdragon processors • 25%
Shift to alternative technologies • 25%
Licensing Nuvia tech to third parties • 25%
Discontinuation of Nuvia tech • 25%
Stock up by more than 10% • 25%
Stock down by more than 10% • 25%
Stock remains within ±10% • 25%
Stock data not available • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Qualcomm acquires Intel • 25%
Qualcomm withdraws interest • 25%
Intel rejects Qualcomm's offer • 25%
No decision by the end of 2024 • 25%
Nvidia wins • 25%
Shareholders win • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%