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What will be the outcome of SpaceX's spectrum negotiations with Kepler by end of 2024?
2
SpaceX•Wall Street Journal•Elon Musk•Starlink•Kepler Communications•OneWeb•Wilson Sonsini•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Dispute escalates legally • 25%
Official announcements from SpaceX or Kepler Communications, or reputable news sources
Story
SpaceX Uses Rocket Launch Dominance to Boost Starlink, Push Rivals to Share Spectrum
Oct 9, 2024, 02:19 PM
SpaceX has leveraged its dominant position as the world’s primary rocket launcher to push satellite rivals into sharing wireless airwaves, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal. The Elon Musk-led company has used its influence to boost its Starlink satellite internet service. During negotiations for satellite launches, SpaceX asked companies such as Kepler Communications and OneWeb to cede spectrum. Attorneys from the law firm Wilson Sonsini have met with the Justice Department regarding these negotiations. Starlink’s rapid growth and influence have made it an indispensable part of SpaceX.
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Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Regulatory intervention • 25%
Starlink complies with the order • 25%
Starlink's license is revoked • 25%
Starlink's equipment is seized • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
License Granted • 25%
License Denied • 25%
License Granted with Conditions • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Approval with conditions • 25%
Full approval • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Postponement • 25%
SpaceSail surpasses Starlink in user base • 25%
Starlink maintains lead over SpaceSail • 25%
Both have equal market share • 25%
Neither gains significant market share • 25%
License Revoked • 25%
License Maintained • 25%
License Modified • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Pause launches • 25%
Allow launches with conditions • 25%
Allow launches without conditions • 25%
No decision • 25%
Increase launches • 25%
Decrease launches • 25%
No change • 25%
Postpone launches • 25%
Successful in all states • 25%
Successful in two states • 25%
Successful in one state • 25%
Not successful in any state • 25%
Approved • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Pending • 34%
Continued compliance with no issues • 25%
License revoked by Anatel • 25%
Partial compliance with some restrictions • 25%
Non-compliance leading to legal action • 25%