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What will be the outcome of Saudi Arabia's efforts towards the creation of a Palestinian state by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful establishment of a Palestinian state • 25%
Partial recognition of Palestinian state • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Saudi Arabian government and Palestinian authorities, major news outlets like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
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Saudi Crown Prince: No Israel Ties Without Palestinian State, East Jerusalem as Capital
Sep 18, 2024, 03:41 PM
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has declared that Saudi Arabia will not establish diplomatic relations with Israel without the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital. In a televised speech, he strongly condemned the 'crimes of the Israeli occupation' against the Palestinian people. The Crown Prince emphasized that the kingdom will continue its efforts towards the creation of a Palestinian state and reaffirmed Saudi Arabia's stance on the issue, which aligns with the creation of a Palestinian state on 1967-lines in accordance with international law.
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Condition met and relations established • 25%
Condition met but no relations established • 25%
Condition not met and no relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Explicit recognition of Palestinian statehood • 25%
Vague commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
No commitment to Palestinian statehood • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Unsuccessful ceasefire • 25%
Two-state solution agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Establishes relations unconditionally • 25%
Establishes relations with conditions met • 25%
No establishment of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Establish relations with Israel • 25%
Condemn Israel's actions • 25%
Support Palestinian statehood • 25%
Other • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Progress in peace talks • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Unilateral actions by Israel • 25%
Detailed Roadmap • 25%
Vague Commitment • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%