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What will be the outcome of Russia-North Korea military cooperation by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official government statements
Story
Russia Trades MiG-29, Su-27 Jets to North Korea for Troops in Ukraine
Dec 10, 2024, 10:04 AM
The United States has disclosed that Russia has agreed to trade MiG-29 and Su-27 fighter jets to North Korea in exchange for North Korean troops to assist in Moscow's ongoing invasion of Ukraine. According to Adm. Samuel Paparo, commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, this deal signifies a deepening military cooperation between Russia and North Korea. North Korean troops are currently stationed in the Kursk region of Russia, ready to engage in hostilities against Ukraine at any time, as stated by Sabrina Singh, a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Defense.
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Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
No significant military developments • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
Increased tension with the West • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
No change • 25%
Cooperation suspended • 25%
Significant gains for Russia • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased international intervention • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Military aid from Russia to North Korea • 25%
Military aid from North Korea to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Reduced military support • 25%
No change • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Strengthened cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Severed ties • 25%
New military agreement • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
No change • 25%
Termination of cooperation • 25%
Increased collaboration • 25%
Decreased collaboration • 25%
No change • 25%
Collaboration ended • 25%
Strengthened military ties • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
Deterioration due to external pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration of ties • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%