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What will be the outcome of RFK Jr.'s independent presidential candidacy?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdraws • 33%
Continues but does not win • 33%
Wins • 33%
Election results, news reports
Story
Supreme Court Rejects COVID-19 Vaccine Appeals from RFK Jr.-Founded Children’s Health Defense
Jun 24, 2024, 05:26 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has rejected two appeals related to COVID-19 vaccines from Children’s Health Defense, the anti-vaccine nonprofit founded by independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. The appeals challenged the COVID-19 vaccine, forced vaccination for school, EUA on young children, and Rutgers University's vaccination rules. The court's decision leaves in place the lower court rulings that upheld the vaccine mandates.
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Wins presidency • 25%
Withdraws and endorses Trump • 25%
Withdraws and endorses Biden • 25%
Continues campaign but loses • 25%
Wins the election • 25%
Drops out before election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Other • 25%
Wins Wisconsin • 25%
Wins more than 5% but does not win Wisconsin • 25%
Wins less than 5% • 25%
Withdraws or is removed from ballot • 25%
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No • 50%
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4% to 6% • 25%
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Significant impact on Trump votes • 25%
Significant impact on Biden votes • 25%
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Appeal successful • 25%
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Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Other • 25%
On the ballot in Michigan • 25%
On the ballot in North Carolina • 25%
On the ballot in both states • 25%
Not on the ballot in either state • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
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Campaign ends • 25%
