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What will be the outcome of Republican leadership changes in the House?
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Donald Trump•Kevin McCarthy•Trump•McCarthy•Biden Administration•Republican•Matt Gaetz•Biden•House Republicans
Resolution / Starting Odds
Matt Gaetz takes leadership role • 25%
Kevin McCarthy returns to leadership • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official records from the US Congress or major news outlets reporting on leadership changes
Story
Trump Criticizes McCarthy for Delaying Debt Ceiling Fight, Calls Decision 'Dumbest' in Years; Advocates $2.5T Cuts and Vote
Dec 29, 2024, 10:35 PM
Former President Donald Trump criticized ex-Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy for delaying the debt ceiling fight, stating that this decision will be remembered as one of the dumbest political choices made in years. Trump specifically mentioned that McCarthy's actions pushed the debt ceiling issue from the Biden Administration into his own term. Trump's comments were echoed by Republican figures, including Matt Gaetz, who noted that this misstep contributed to McCarthy's loss of the speakership. Additionally, Trump called for a vote on raising the debt limit before President Biden leaves office, as House Republicans had reportedly reached an internal agreement before Christmas to raise the limit in a reconciliation bill paired with $2.5 trillion in cuts, which is expected to take place after Trump assumes office again.
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Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Failed to pass • 25%
Passed with majority • 25%
Not voted on by deadline • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
Mike Johnson wins • 25%
No winner on first ballot • 25%
Byron Donalds wins • 25%
New Republican Speaker • 25%
Vacant position • 25%
Mike Johnson remains as Speaker • 25%
Democratic Speaker • 25%
Other • 25%
Jamaal Bowman • 25%
Ilhan Omar • 25%
Katie Porter • 25%
J.D. Vance • 25%
Other • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
No investigation launched • 25%
Investigation launched • 25%
Investigation launched but no charges • 25%
Investigation launched with charges • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on first ballot • 25%
Democrat elected • 25%
Another Republican elected • 25%
Mike Johnson elected on subsequent ballot • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Other • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Hakeem Jeffries • 25%