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Market
What will be the outcome of Reddit's demand for payment from Microsoft for data scraping by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Microsoft agrees to pay • 25%
Microsoft refuses to pay • 25%
Reddit files lawsuit • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Official announcements from Reddit or Microsoft, major news outlets
Story
Reddit CEO Demands Microsoft, Others Pay for Scraping Data on July 31
Jul 31, 2024, 09:05 PM
Reddit CEO Steve Huffman has called on Microsoft and other companies to pay for scraping data from Reddit. Huffman emphasized that it has been a significant challenge to block Microsoft’s Bing, Perplexity, and Anthropic from accessing Reddit data. He mentioned that Microsoft has been using Reddit data in Bing and reselling it through an API to other search engines. This move comes after Reddit has already struck deals with Google and OpenAI. Huffman stands by the decision to block most non-Google search engines, highlighting the necessity for these companies to compensate Reddit for its content. Huffman described the situation as 'a real pain in the ass' on July 31.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Meta fined • 25%
Meta settles out of court • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Antitrust lawsuit • 25%
Regulatory fines • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
No action taken • 25%
New regulations proposed • 25%
Fines imposed on Meta • 25%
Other • 25%
Ransom paid by Ticketmaster • 25%
Ransom paid by another compromised company • 25%
No ransom paid • 25%
Ongoing negotiation • 25%
Issue an apology • 25%
Introduce new privacy controls • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Court rules in favor of YouTube creators • 25%
Court rules in favor of AI companies • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Appeal to Supreme Court • 25%
Settlement with publishers • 25%
Compliance with ruling • 25%
Other • 25%
Mojeek sees a decline in traffic • 25%
Bing sees a decline in traffic • 25%
DuckDuckGo sees a decline in traffic • 25%
No significant impact on any search engine • 25%
