Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of rebel control in Homs by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels maintain control • 25%
Assad regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as BBC, Al Jazeera, or Reuters
Story
Syrian Rebels Swiftly Enter Homs, Threatening Assad's Regime
Dec 7, 2024, 10:41 PM
Syrian rebels, led by opposition commander Hassan Abdul-Ghani, have reportedly entered the city of Homs, marking a significant advance that could potentially split President Bashar al-Assad's regime in two. According to Abdul-Ghani, his forces have also taken control of Deraa, Quneitra, Sweida, and Homs within a 24-hour period. This rapid advance aims to liberate the entire Damascus countryside before moving towards the capital itself. The entry into Homs, if confirmed, represents a major threat to Assad's rule, as Homs is the last major city before Damascus. A war monitor has also reported the rebels' swift movement into Homs.
View original story
Similar markets
Stalemate situation • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Control fluctuates • 25%
Rebels take full control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Rebel Victory • 25%
Government Victory • 25%
Controlled by other rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by HTS • 25%
Remains contested • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Operation declared unsuccessful • 25%
Operation ongoing • 25%
Operation declared successful • 25%
Operation declared partially successful • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Rebels retain control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate persists • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Assad regains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%