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What will be the outcome of potential Hezbollah-Israel negotiations by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful peace talks • 25%
Failure of peace talks • 25%
Talks commence but no resolution • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or Hezbollah, or verified reports from major news agencies
Story
Hezbollah Warns: 'Strike Beirut, We Strike Tel Aviv' After Four Israeli Airstrikes on Central Beirut
Nov 24, 2024, 04:53 PM
Hezbollah has issued a statement through various channels, including Telegram, asserting a retaliatory stance against Israel following recent airstrikes on Beirut. The group published a poster with the message, 'If you strike Beirut, we’ll strike Tel Aviv,' emphasizing its commitment to respond to Israeli attacks. This comes after Israel reportedly conducted four airstrikes in central Beirut over the past week. Hezbollah's Secretary General has indicated a desire to restore a deterrence equation between the two cities, framing the conflict as a direct response to Israeli aggression.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Talks do not occur • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing tensions • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
International Mediation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo • 25%