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What will be the outcome of new federal abortion legislation by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nationwide ban • 25%
Increased restrictions • 25%
No change • 25%
Expanded access • 25%
Official Congressional records, legislative outcomes
Story
U.S. Supreme Court Unanimously Upholds Access to Abortion Pill Mifepristone on June 13, 2024
Jun 13, 2024, 06:53 PM
On June 13, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously upheld access to the FDA-approved abortion pill, mifepristone, rejecting efforts to impose restrictions. This decision preserves access to a medication used in nearly two-thirds of all U.S. abortions. Despite this ruling, the broader fight over abortion rights continues, with some Republicans pushing for nationwide restrictions and bans. The court's decision leaves the FDA's approval of mifepristone intact but does not address future questions about abortion access.
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Similar markets
Uphold current restrictions • 25%
Loosen restrictions • 25%
Tighten restrictions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More restrictive • 33%
Less restrictive • 33%
No change • 33%
New bans enacted • 33%
Existing bans reinforced • 33%
Bans reversed or blocked • 34%
Affirmative action • 25%
Reproductive rights • 25%
Healthcare access • 25%
Other • 25%
Federal ban with exceptions • 25%
Federal ban without exceptions • 25%
State-level decision • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban partially overturned • 33%
Ban fully overturned • 33%
New legislation passed • 33%
Existing rules reinforced • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Adopt similar laws • 33%
No change in current laws • 34%
Tighten abortion restrictions • 33%
Strongly Support • 25%
Somewhat Support • 25%
Somewhat Oppose • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%
Majority support current law • 33%
Majority support partial amendment • 33%
Majority support full repeal • 33%