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What will be the outcome of Moldova's military operation plan for Transnistria by December 31, 2025?
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Maia Sandu•Transnistria•Russian•Russian Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•Sandu•Moldova•Russia•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully remove Russian peacekeepers • 25%
Operation initiated but not successful • 25%
Operation not initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from Moldovan government or international news agencies
Story
Moldovan President Maia Sandu Prepares Military Operation Plan for Transnistria, Aiming to Eliminate Russian Peacekeeping Presence
Dec 23, 2024, 08:15 AM
Moldovan President Maia Sandu is reportedly preparing a military operation plan aimed at establishing control over Transnistria and eliminating the Russian peacekeeping presence in the region, according to statements from the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). The SVR has expressed concerns that there are no guarantees Sandu will refrain from escalating military actions, potentially igniting a conflict. This development comes amidst ongoing discussions regarding Moldova's energy supply issues, particularly following the expiration of an energy agreement between Russia and Ukraine. The situation has drawn attention from various sources, highlighting the tense geopolitical dynamics in the region.
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Decrease in troops • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase in troops • 25%
State of emergency extended • 25%
State of emergency ends with secured gas supply • 25%
Other • 25%
State of emergency ends without securing gas supply • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Secured gas supply • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased energy crisis • 25%
Partial gas supply • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
No Deployment • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial Deployment • 25%
Full Deployment • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%