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What will be the outcome of Meta's anti-trust trial by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Mark Zuckerberg•Meta•Trump•Zuckerberg•Florida•Joel Kaplan•Republican•Global Policy•UFC•Dana White
Resolution / Starting Odds
Meta wins the trial • 25%
Meta loses the trial • 25%
Trial ends in settlement • 25%
Trial is extended into 2026 • 25%
Court rulings, legal documents, credible news reports
Story
Trump Claims Influence Over Meta's Shift to Community Notes System at Mar-a-Lago
Jan 7, 2025, 05:52 PM
Former President Donald Trump has suggested that Mark Zuckerberg's decision to alter Meta's fact-checking policy was likely influenced by threats he had previously made against the Meta CEO. Trump expressed satisfaction with Meta's shift to a community notes system, similar to that used by X, which he described as a significant advancement for the company. This change, announced by Zuckerberg, involves moving away from traditional fact-checking to a model where users verify information. Trump's comments were made during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida, where he responded affirmatively to a question about whether Zuckerberg's decision was a direct response to his past threats. Additionally, Meta's $1 million campaign donation to Trump has stirred controversy, and Zuckerberg faces an upcoming anti-trust trial. In response to these developments, Zuckerberg has hired Joel Kaplan, a Republican official, to run Meta's Global Policy effort and brought UFC CEO Dana White, a Trump ally, onto the Meta board.
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Similar markets
Settlement reached • 25%
Fine dismissed • 25%
Fine reduced • 25%
Fine overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fine upheld • 25%
Fine reduced • 33%
Fine upheld • 33%
Fine overturned • 33%
Fine overturned • 25%
Fine reduced • 25%
Fine upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fine overturned after appeal • 25%
Fine reduced after appeal • 25%
Fine paid without appeal • 25%
Fine remains under litigation • 25%
Chrome sale required • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Google's remedies accepted • 25%
Case settled with other terms • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Settlement reached • 25%
Google wins • 25%
Google loses, divestment required • 25%
Google loses, no divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Google forced to divest Chrome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Google prevails • 25%
DOJ's proposal accepted • 25%
Compromise solution • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Google's proposal accepted • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
DOJ wins case • 25%
Case ongoing into 2026 • 25%
Google wins case • 25%
Fine overturned • 25%
Fine reduced • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
Fine paid in full • 25%
Fines imposed on both companies • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed on Google • 25%
Fines imposed on Meta • 25%