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What will be the outcome of Kellogg's ceasefire proposal by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
Official statements from the US government, Ukrainian government, or credible news reports
Story
Trump Considers Retired Lt Gen Keith Kellogg for Ukraine Envoy, Proposes Ceasefire Plan
Nov 27, 2024, 03:07 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering retired Lieutenant General Keith Kellogg for the position of special envoy to Ukraine. Sources indicate that Kellogg, who previously served as Trump's national security adviser, has presented a plan aimed at ending the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This potential nomination comes amid heightened tensions between the United States and Ukraine. The competition for the envoy position appears to be intensifying, with Kellogg emerging as a leading candidate. His ceasefire proposal, which he shared with Trump earlier this year, is part of the discussions surrounding his potential appointment.
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Accepted by both parties • 25%
Rejected by Russia • 25%
Rejected by Ukraine • 25%
Modified and accepted • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Partial agreement without ceasefire • 25%
No progress • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire partially implemented • 25%
No decision • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and Accepted • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Plan rejected by Russia • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Russian demands • 25%
U.S. policy stance • 25%
Ukrainian resistance • 25%
International opposition • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Territorial adjustments • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military withdrawal • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Withdrawal of Russian troops • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement signed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military escalation • 25%