Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Joe Manchin's call for Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 race by December 31, 2024?
5
Joe Manchin•Joe Biden•Manchin•Independent•West Virginia•ABC•This Week•Biden•CNN•State of the Union•Jake Tapper
Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden drops out • 25%
Biden remains a candidate • 25%
Biden publicly addresses but does not drop out • 25%
No public response from Biden • 25%
Public statements or official announcements from Joe Biden or the Democratic Party
Story
Sen. Joe Manchin Urges President Biden to Drop Out of 2024 Race, 'Pass the Torch'
Jul 21, 2024, 01:34 PM
Senator Joe Manchin has publicly called on President Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race and 'pass the torch to a new generation.' Manchin, an Independent senator from West Virginia, made the remarks during an interview on ABC's 'This Week.' He expressed that it is time for new leadership and urged Biden to step aside. Speaking on CNN's 'State of the Union' with Jake Tapper, Manchin added that he came to the decision with a 'heavy heart.' Manchin's comments add to a growing chorus of voices suggesting that Biden should not seek reelection.
View original story
Similar markets
Biden withdraws • 25%
Biden remains in race • 25%
No public demand made • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Biden resigns before end of term • 25%
Biden remains in office until end of term • 25%
Formal impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden resigns, Harris becomes President • 25%
Biden does not resign • 25%
Proposal is rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Kamala Harris becomes the nominee • 25%
Another candidate becomes the nominee • 25%
Special convention is held to select a new nominee • 25%
Other • 25%
Bernie Sanders • 25%
Elizabeth Warren • 25%
Cory Booker • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
4 or fewer • 25%
5-6 • 25%
7-8 • 25%
9 or more • 25%
Biden steps aside • 25%
Biden remains the nominee • 25%
Harris becomes the nominee • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Less than 25 • 25%
25 to 29 • 25%
30 to 34 • 25%
35 or more • 25%
