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What will be the outcome of Italy's SpaceX deal discussions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Contract signed • 25%
Talks discontinued • 25%
Contract modified and signed • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Official announcements from the Italian government or SpaceX
Story
Italy in Talks with SpaceX for €1.5B Encrypted Communications, Sparks Controversy
Jan 9, 2025, 01:10 PM
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has clarified that her government is in preliminary talks with Elon Musk's SpaceX regarding the provision of secure communications for Italy. The discussions are focused on a potential deal valued at 1.5 billion euros, aimed at enhancing the country's encrypted telecommunications system. Meloni emphasized that these talks are in an early stage and no contracts have been signed yet. She also denied having any personal discussions with Musk about the Starlink deal, stating that the government's interest is solely based on national interest. The potential agreement has sparked controversy and scrutiny, with opposition parties questioning the implications for national security and the European Union's own satellite initiative, IRIS².
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Deal postponed • 33%
Other • 1%
Deal finalized • 33%
Deal cancelled • 33%
Contract with SpaceX • 25%
Development of a public alternative • 25%
Project canceled • 25%
Contract with another private company • 25%
Talks abandoned • 25%
Alternative provider chosen • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Deal finalized with SpaceX • 25%
Deal finalized with another provider • 25%
Deal postponed • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No contract signed • 25%
Contract signed with SpaceX • 25%
Contract signed with Iris² • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
