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What will be the outcome of Italy-SpaceX telecom deal negotiations by end of 2025?
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Italy•Elon Musk•SpaceX•Italian•Europe•Italian military•Mediterranean•Starlink•Giorgia Meloni•Donald Trump•Florida•EU•IRIS²
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deal finalized • 33%
Deal postponed • 33%
Deal cancelled • 33%
Other • 1%
Official announcements from the Italian government or SpaceX
Story
Italy in Advanced Talks With SpaceX for $1.6 Billion, Five-Year Secure Telecom Deal, Largest in Europe
Jan 5, 2025, 07:47 PM
Italy is in advanced talks with Elon Musk's SpaceX for a $1.6 billion, five-year deal to provide secure telecommunications services to the Italian government, marking the largest such project in Europe. The agreement includes high-level encryption for government phone and internet services, as well as communication services for the Italian military in the Mediterranean region and Starlink satellite services for emergency situations such as terrorist attacks or natural disasters. The project has been approved by Italy's intelligence services and defense ministry. The negotiations, which had been stalled until recently, gained momentum following a meeting between Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump in Florida. Italy is considering alternatives to the SpaceX deal, including the EU's IRIS² satellite constellation or developing its own satellite network, both of which would exceed €10 billion in costs.
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Project canceled • 25%
Contract with SpaceX • 25%
Development of a public alternative • 25%
Contract with another private company • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Talks abandoned • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Alternative provider chosen • 25%
Deal finalized with SpaceX • 25%
Deal postponed • 25%
Deal finalized with another provider • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Talks discontinued • 25%
Contract signed • 25%
Contract modified and signed • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Contract signed with SpaceX • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No contract signed • 25%
Contract signed with Iris² • 25%
No significant benefits • 25%
Enhanced military communication • 25%
Improved emergency services • 25%
Increased cybersecurity • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%