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What will be the outcome of Israel's military response plan against Iran by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved and executed • 25%
Approved but not executed • 25%
Not approved • 25%
Deferred decision • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or official statements from the Israeli government
Story
Netanyahu, Gallant, and Halevi Agree on Military Response to Iran's Missile Attacks, Awaiting Security Cabinet Approval
Oct 15, 2024, 07:16 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant have reached an agreement on the intensity and timing of a potential military response to Iran, following recent missile attacks. The decision, which also involves Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, was made during a series of security consultations. While a consensus has been established on the action plan, final approval from Israel's security cabinet is still required before implementation. This marks a significant development in Israel's approach to Iran, as it is reported to be one of the first instances where Israel has openly approved potential attacks on Iran. The situation remains fluid as the security cabinet deliberates on the proposed actions.
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De-escalation • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Resolution • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
Strike on nuclear facilities • 25%
Strike on oil facilities • 25%
Both nuclear and oil facilities • 25%
No retaliatory strike • 25%
Significant military engagement • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No further action • 25%
Israel attacks Iran • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful strikes with no retaliation • 25%
Successful strikes with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Strikes aborted or postponed • 25%
Unsuccessful strikes • 25%
Significant damage to IRGC infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage with high casualties • 25%
Operation aborted or unsuccessful • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran's nuclear facilities significantly damaged • 25%
Iran's nuclear facilities slightly damaged • 25%
Iran's nuclear facilities not damaged • 25%
No airstrikes conducted • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Successful with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful with significant casualties • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Decisive victory for Iran • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Successful strikes with no escalation • 25%
Strikes lead to regional escalation • 25%
Strikes are called off • 25%
Other outcome • 25%