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What will be the outcome of Iran's retaliation against Israel by June 30, 2025?
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Iranian•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Hossein Salami•Ali Larijani•Ali Khamenei•Iran•Israel•Salami•Gaza•Lebanon•Larijani•Tasnim News Agency
Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation into larger conflict • 25%
Limited conflict with no further escalation • 25%
Successful diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Official statements from either government or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Iran Vows Revenge on Israel for October Attacks, Says Advisor to Supreme Leader Khamenei
Nov 24, 2024, 03:03 PM
Iranian officials, including the Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Major General Hossein Salami, and Ali Larijani, an advisor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have announced that Iran is preparing to respond to Israel for recent attacks. Major General Salami vowed revenge on Israel, stating, "Our people can be sure, we will definitely take our revenge against Israel," and predicted its destruction if the ongoing conflict in Gaza and Lebanon continues. Larijani told the Tasnim News Agency that Iranian military officials are studying various options for retaliation against Israel's October 25-26 attack on Iranian military targets, emphasizing the need for "precision and secrecy" in planning. He noted that Iran has not yet responded to these strikes. The statements signal an escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel, as Iranian leadership indicates plans to retaliate for perceived aggressions.
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Increased conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful retaliation • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic impacts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased regional tensions • 25%
De-escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
Significant military conflict • 25%
Minor skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Minor retaliation • 25%
Significant retaliation • 25%
Major retaliation • 25%
Significant damage in Israel • 25%
Minimal damage in Israel • 25%
No successful strike • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant military engagement • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No further action • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No Retaliation • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Decisive victory for Iran • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued Stalemate • 25%
Resolution and Peace Talks • 25%