Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of international investigations into potential war crimes in the Israel-Hamas conflict by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Charges against Hamas • 25%
Charges against Israel • 25%
Charges against both • 25%
No charges • 25%
Reports from the International Criminal Court or credible international human rights organizations
Story
One Year Since Iran-backed Hamas Attack on Israel: Over 1,200 Dead, 101 Hostages Remain
Oct 7, 2024, 07:20 AM
Today marks one year since the brutal terrorist attack by Iran-backed Hamas on October 7, 2023, which resulted in the deaths of over 1,200 people and the abduction of more than 250 hostages. The attack, which targeted Israeli civilians, included a massacre at the Nova Music Festival where hundreds were killed. The terrorists infiltrated Israel by air, sea, and land, committing atrocities such as rape, torture, and murder. Currently, 101 hostages remain in captivity. The attack also left over 3,400 wounded and has been described as the deadliest day for the Jewish people since the Holocaust. Memorials and ceremonies are being held in Israel and around the world to remember the victims and call for the release of the remaining hostages. Additionally, the conflict has resulted in the deaths of over 41,000 Palestinians in Gaza.
View original story
Similar markets
Use of banned weapons confirmed • 25%
Use of banned weapons not confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Genocide confirmed • 25%
Genocide not confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Investigation opened • 25%
Investigation blocked • 25%
Investigation delayed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Further investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Condemnation of IDF • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Israel held responsible • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Other parties held responsible • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All dismissed • 25%
Some convictions • 25%
All convictions • 25%
Ongoing trials • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
Hamas found responsible • 25%
Both parties found responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Israeli military personnel found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Blame placed on other parties • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Pursue charges against Netanyahu • 25%
Pursue charges against Gallant • 25%
Pursue charges against both • 25%
Do not pursue charges • 25%