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What will be the outcome of increased U.S. military support for Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased conflict • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official reports from the U.S. government or major news outlets like BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
Trump Criticizes Ukraine's U.S.-Supplied ATACMS Strike on Russia, Calls for Ceasefire Amid Escalating Tensions
Dec 13, 2024, 06:02 AM
Donald Trump has criticized Ukraine's use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles, specifically the ATACMS, to strike Russian territory, stating that such actions only escalate the conflict. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump expressed that these missile attacks worsen the situation and emphasized his willingness to mediate for a ceasefire. His comments come as the Biden administration is reportedly working to increase military support for Ukraine. In response to Ukraine's actions, Russia has vowed to retaliate, intensifying the ongoing tensions in the region.
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Increase support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
End support • 25%
Aid completed successfully • 25%
Aid partially completed • 25%
Aid halted due to political changes • 25%
Aid redirected to other priorities • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Increase in military support • 25%
Decrease in military support • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Suspension of military support • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Stalemate maintained • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains significant territory • 25%
Conflict remains in a stalemate • 25%
Russia regains lost territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Increased security • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration in security • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved Defense Capabilities • 25%
Economic Stability • 25%
Enhanced Infrastructure • 25%
Better Humanitarian Conditions • 25%
Increased military aid from the US • 25%
Decreased military aid from the US • 25%
No change in military aid from the US • 25%
Complete cessation of military aid from the US • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Aid stopped • 25%