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What will be the outcome of identifying the perpetrator(s) of the assassination attempt on Donald Trump by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as a lone individual • 25%
Identified as part of a group • 25%
Perpetrator(s) not identified • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI press releases, official announcements, or credible news sources
Story
Russia Condemns Violence After Assassination Attempt on Trump, Expresses Condolences to Killed and Injured
Jul 14, 2024, 11:12 AM
Russia has expressed condolences following an assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that it was evident to all outside observers that Trump's life was in danger after numerous attempts to eliminate him from the political arena using legal instruments, courts, prosecutors, and attempts to politically discredit and compromise him. The Kremlin condemned any manifestations of violence during political struggles and called on the United States to take stock of its policies of incitement to hatred. Russia expressed condolences to those killed and wished a speedy recovery to the injured. Russian President Vladimir Putin does not plan to call Trump following the incident.
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Lone individual • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign entity • 25%
Unknown/Unidentified • 25%
Gunman acted alone • 25%
Gunman was part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Investigation remains inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
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Lone Wolf Act • 25%
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Inconclusive • 25%
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Secret Service at fault • 25%
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Neither at fault • 25%
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Suspect remains unidentified • 25%
Investigation reveals insider involvement • 25%
Investigation yields no conclusive results • 25%
Individual with known political motive • 25%
Individual with unknown motive • 25%
Group with known political motive • 25%
Group with unknown motive • 25%
Routh acted alone • 25%
Routh had accomplices • 25%
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Other • 25%
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Suspect not apprehended • 25%
Suspect identified but not apprehended • 25%
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Perpetrator identified but not arrested • 25%
Perpetrator not identified • 25%
Shooter identified and motive determined • 25%
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Shooter not identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Perpetrator Identified and Arrested • 25%
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Domestic individual • 25%
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No key figure identified • 25%
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No suspects identified • 25%
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Foreign entity • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Group of individuals identified • 25%
No perpetrator identified • 25%
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