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What will be the outcome of heightened security for Iran's Supreme Leader by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant incidents • 25%
Attempted attack thwarted • 25%
Successful attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Iran's Supreme Leader Moved to Secure Location with Tight Security Amid Nasrallah's Reported Assassination
Sep 28, 2024, 09:14 AM
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has been moved to a secure location with heightened security measures and tight security following the reported assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. The relocation, reported by Reuters and other sources, comes as Iran coordinates with Hezbollah and regional allies to determine the next steps.
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Military action against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased support to Hezbollah • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Supreme Leader replaced • 25%
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