Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Google's classification dispute for YouTube under Malaysia's law by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Google wins classification dispute • 25%
Malaysia upholds classification • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No resolution by deadline • 25%
Public announcements from Google or Malaysia's internet regulator
Story
X and Google Fail to Apply for Malaysia's Social Media License by January 1, 2025, as WeChat and TikTok Obtain Approval
Jan 2, 2025, 05:32 AM
Malaysia's new social media operating license law, which took effect on January 1, 2025, has seen major platforms X, operated by Elon Musk, and Google, owner of YouTube, fail to apply for the required licenses. The country's internet regulator confirmed that neither platform submitted applications by the deadline. In contrast, local platforms WeChat and TikTok have successfully obtained licenses to operate under this new regulation. X has cited its user base of under 8 million in Malaysia as a reason for not applying, while Google has disputed YouTube's classification under the new law.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Removed all specified content • 25%
Removed some content • 25%
No content removed • 25%
Chrome sale required • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Case settled with other terms • 25%
Google's remedies accepted • 25%
Government wins • 33%
Settlement reached • 34%
TikTok wins • 33%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ruling overturned • 25%
Ruling upheld • 25%
No appeal filed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Google loses, divestment required • 25%
Google loses, no divestment • 25%
Google wins • 25%
Fines imposed on both companies • 25%
Fines imposed on Google • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed on Meta • 25%
Data sharing mandate • 25%
Chrome divestment • 25%
Both actions • 25%
No action • 25%
Goes to trial • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settled • 25%
Dismissed • 25%