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What will be the outcome of ex-North Korean soldiers' request to be deployed to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 33%
Denied • 33%
Pending • 34%
Official announcements from South Korean or Ukrainian government
Story
Nearly 200 Ex-North Korean Soldiers in South Korea Seek Deployment to Ukraine for Psychological Warfare
Oct 28, 2024, 10:28 AM
Nearly 200 former North Korean soldiers who defected to South Korea are seeking relocation to Ukraine to launch a psychological warfare campaign against their former comrades, who are reportedly assembling in Russia, according to the South China Morning Post. These ex-soldiers, with 7 to 10 years of military experience, aim to use their insider knowledge to influence North Korean troops. Ukraine is also trying to entice North Korean soldiers to defect by promising better living conditions in POW camps, including their own beds and regular meals.
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Mass surrender • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased defections • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Withdrawal without combat • 25%
Engagement in combat • 25%
Captured by Ukrainian forces • 25%
No deployment • 25%
Full Withdrawal • 25%
Continued Presence • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Limited Engagement • 25%
Full-scale combat participation • 25%
Limited support role • 25%
Withdrawal before combat • 25%
Other • 25%
Engage in combat • 25%
Remain in training • 25%
Withdraw from region • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Troops remain in Ukraine • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops increase • 25%
Other • 25%