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What will be the outcome of AI-equipped Shahed drone operations against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful targeting of power plants • 25%
Neutralized by Ukrainian defenses • 25%
Limited effectiveness due to countermeasures • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reports from international defense analysts and news agencies
Story
Russia Equips Shahed Drones with AI to Identify Power Plants in Strong Electronic Warfare
Dec 27, 2024, 03:09 PM
Russia has enhanced its Shahed drones with artificial intelligence, enabling them to autonomously recognize targets, including objects resembling power plants, even in the absence of a network connection. This development, reported by Politico and referenced by Ukraine's Ambassador to the EU, suggests that the drones are now capable of operating effectively under conditions of strong electronic warfare. The introduction of AI into these kamikaze drones could complicate Ukraine's air defense efforts, as the drones can identify and engage targets without relying on external communications.
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Successful without casualties • 25%
Successful with casualties • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Intercepted by Russian forces • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Direct Strikes • 25%
Cyber Warfare • 25%
Another helicopter downed • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Other military target engaged • 25%
Naval vessel damaged • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
HTS loses ground • 25%
HTS gains significant ground • 25%
HTS maintains current position • 25%
Other • 25%
Highly effective • 25%
Moderately effective • 25%
Minimally effective • 25%
Not effective • 25%
Highly successful • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Moderately successful • 25%
Partially meets target • 25%
Fails to meet target • 25%
Exceeds target • 25%
Successfully meets target • 25%