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What will be the outcome of a Ukrainian ATACMS strike on Rostov airfields by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful strike with significant damage • 25%
Strike attempted but intercepted • 25%
No strike attempted • 25%
Strike attempted with minimal impact • 25%
Verified reports from credible news agencies such as Reuters or BBC
Story
Ukraine Plans ATACMS Strike on Rostov Airfields, WSJ Reports
Nov 24, 2024, 08:38 AM
The Wall Street Journal reports that Ukraine may soon launch an ATACMS missile strike targeting military airfields in Russia's Rostov region. The U.S. has mapped out approximately 200 military targets in Russia that are within the range of ATACMS missiles, with four airfields in Rostov being potential targets. The leak of this information has raised concerns about alerting Russia to Ukraine's military plans.
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Successful with significant impact • 25%
Successful with limited impact • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No attack conducted • 25%
Significant Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Significant Russian counteroffensive • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited military success • 25%
No military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Russian military withdrawal from key areas • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Increased international diplomatic intervention • 25%
Significant damage to Russian military infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Unknown or other • 25%
Crimea • 25%
Kursk region • 25%
Other Russian regions • 25%
No significant use • 25%
Significant damage to drone storage • 25%
Destruction of key airfields • 25%
Neutralization of ammunition depots • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful with significant damage to Russian/North Korean targets • 25%
Partially successful with limited damage • 25%
Unsuccessful with no significant damage • 25%
Cancelled or delayed • 25%