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What will be the next significant legal or political event involving Thaksin Shinawatra by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New legal charges • 25%
Political comeback • 25%
Public speech or appearance • 25%
No significant event • 25%
News reports from credible sources, court records, and official announcements
Story
Thaksin Shinawatra Granted Royal Pardon Among 50,000 for King’s Birthday, Parole Ends Early
Aug 17, 2024, 08:48 AM
Former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra has been granted a royal pardon, as part of a mass amnesty to celebrate King Maha Vajiralongkorn’s birthday. This pardon includes more than 50,000 prisoners and convicted felons, among them 7,500 parolees. Thaksin's parole, originally set to end on August 31, will now conclude on Sunday, effectively reducing his sentence by two weeks. The royal pardon has been confirmed by local media reports and Thaksin's lawyer.
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Returns to active politics • 25%
Takes on advisory role • 25%
Remains retired • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another rally • 25%
Policy announcement • 25%
Legal event • 25%
Other • 25%
New charges in Australia • 33%
Extradition to another country • 33%
No further legal action • 33%
Additional charges • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Pardon granted • 25%
Significant reforms passed • 25%
Minor reforms passed • 25%
No reforms passed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
Existing charges dropped • 25%
Extradition proceedings • 25%
Other • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No significant legal outcome • 25%
Public outcry and protests • 25%
Moderate criticism • 25%
Minimal public reaction • 25%
Public support for Prawit Wongsuwon • 25%
New federal charges • 25%
New state charges • 25%
No new charges • 25%
Other • 25%