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What will be the next major coalition in the European Parliament?
5
European Parliament•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Austria•Freedom Party•German SPD•Olaf Scholz•Europe•European•Greens•Scholz
Resolution / Starting Odds
Right-wing coalition • 25%
Left-wing coalition • 25%
Centrist coalition • 25%
No major coalition • 25%
Official announcements from the European Parliament and reliable news sources
Story
Far-Right Parties Gain in European Parliament Elections: Austria, Germany See 16.5% Surge
Jun 9, 2024, 03:57 PM
The European Parliament elections have seen a significant shift to the right, with far-right parties making substantial gains. Exit polls indicate that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has risen to 16.5%, up from 11% in 2019, placing it in second position. Austria's far-right Freedom Party is projected to win the European Parliament election for the first time. The German SPD, part of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition, suffered a historic defeat, crashing to 14%, its worst-ever result, falling to third place behind the AfD. This shift reflects a fragmenting political landscape in Europe, with right and far-right parties gaining influence. Over 373 million Europeans were eligible to vote. The Greens accounted for 8.5% of the decline in Scholz’s coalition.
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CDU/CSU + FDP • 25%
SPD + Greens + FDP • 25%
AfD + CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
Far-right/Nationalist Parties • 25%
Mainstream Conservative Parties • 25%
Socialist/Social Democrat Parties • 25%
Green Parties • 25%
VVD included • 33%
NSC included • 33%
Farmers' party included • 33%
Left-wing coalition • 33%
Freedom Party (PVV) • 33%
Another party • 34%
Brothers of Italy • 25%
National Rally (France) • 25%
Vox (Spain) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Macron's Party • 25%
Far-Right Party • 25%
Left-Wing Coalition • 25%
Right-Wing Coalition • 25%
Social Democrats, Greens, and Christian Democrats • 33%
National Rally and allies • 33%
No governing pact formed • 34%
CDU/CSU + FDP • 25%
SPD + Greens + FDP • 25%
AfD + CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD + Greens + Left • 25%
Democratic Alliance (DA) • 33%
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) • 33%
Other • 34%
European People's Party (EPP) • 25%
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) • 25%
Renew Europe (RE) • 25%
Identity and Democracy (ID) • 25%