Loading...
Market
What will be the next major attack in the Israel-Hamas conflict by September 30, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel pre-emptive strike • 25%
Hamas retaliatory attack • 25%
Hezbollah attack • 25%
No major attack • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official statements from relevant authorities
Story
Israel and Hamas Urged to Resume Ceasefire Talks on August 15 Amid Iran Tensions
Aug 9, 2024, 05:46 PM
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has intensified, with Israel reportedly considering a pre-emptive strike as it braces for potential retaliatory attacks from Iran and Hezbollah. This follows the assassination of senior leaders, including Hamas's Ismail Haniyeh and a top Hezbollah commander, which has heightened tensions in the region. In response, the mayor of Haifa has advised residents to prepare for possible attacks by stocking up on essentials. Meanwhile, international mediators, including the US, Qatar, and Egypt, are urging Israel and Hamas to resume ceasefire talks on August 15. Yahya Sinwar has been elevated as Hamas's new political chief, with the Qassam Brigades pledging allegiance to him. Iran has indicated it may delay its retaliatory response if a ceasefire is reached, while the Biden administration is pressing for a resolution to the conflict. The situation remains volatile, with diplomatic efforts ongoing to prevent further escalation.
View original story
Similar markets
Airstrike • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
IDF airstrike • 25%
Hamas rocket attack • 25%
Ground incursion by IDF • 25%
Other • 25%
No major attack • 25%
Attack with no IDF casualties • 25%
Attack with 1-3 IDF casualties • 25%
Attack with more than 3 IDF casualties • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground operation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No major action • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Rocket attack by Hamas • 25%
Ground invasion by Israel • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Muhammad Deif eliminated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
IDF captures key Gaza territory • 25%
Other • 25%
