Loading...
Market
What will be the nature of the next significant military incident involving China and the US in the Taiwan Strait by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Air encounter • 25%
Naval encounter • 25%
Cyber incident • 25%
Other • 25%
Publicly available news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or official government statements
Story
China Says It Tailed U.S. Spy Plane Through Taiwan Strait on Tuesday
Sep 17, 2024, 08:38 PM
China has announced that its military forces tailed a U.S. spy plane through the sensitive Taiwan Strait on Tuesday. According to Li Xi, a senior colonel, Chinese warplanes were organized to monitor the U.S. aircraft's flight. This incident highlights the ongoing tensions between China and the United States in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Naval transit • 25%
Air patrol • 25%
Joint military exercise • 25%
Other • 25%
Aircraft transit • 25%
Naval patrol • 25%
Joint military exercise with Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sinking • 25%
Collision • 25%
Fire • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal Agreement • 25%
Joint Patrols • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
Other • 25%
Naval encounter • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
Fishing rights dispute • 25%
Other • 25%