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What will be the nationality of the second suspect in the Ariel bus shooting identified by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Palestinian national • 25%
Israeli national • 25%
Dual citizenship • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli authorities or news reports
Story
Nine Israelis Injured, Three Critically, in Bus Shooting Near Ariel Settlement; Attacker Killed, Second Suspect Sought
Nov 29, 2024, 10:48 AM
Nine Israeli settlers were injured, including three critically, in a shooting attack near the settlement of Ariel in the occupied West Bank on November 29, 2024. The assailant, reportedly wearing a bulletproof vest and armed with an automatic rifle, opened fire on a bus carrying settlers at the Giti Avisar junction near Salfit. Israeli forces shot and killed the attacker at the scene and are searching for a possible second suspect. Among the injured are both civilians and soldiers. Beilinson Hospital in Petah Tikva reported receiving seven of the wounded, including three in serious condition. The Israeli military is conducting searches in the area following the attack.
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Israeli citizen • 25%
Palestinian citizen • 25%
Citizen of another country • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Israeli citizen • 25%
Palestinian from West Bank • 25%
Foreign national • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Affiliated with a terrorist organization • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Affiliated with a known terrorist organization • 25%
Lone wolves with no known affiliation • 25%
Affiliated with a local criminal group • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Swedish • 25%
British • 25%
Other European • 25%
Non-European • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Other group • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Individual acting alone • 25%
Organized crime group • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspects apprehended • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Incident deemed accidental • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%