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What will be the most likely type of Russian attack on Ukrainian nuclear facilities by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Drone strike • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No attack • 25%
Verified reports from Energoatom or international news agencies
Story
US Officials Fear Russian Drones and Missiles Threatening Ukrainian Nuclear Safety in Khmelnytskyi
Sep 14, 2024, 06:55 PM
Russian drones and missiles have been observed flying near Ukrainian nuclear power plants, including in the Khmelnytskyi region, raising significant safety concerns. Over 70 drones and more than 30 Russian cruise missiles have been recorded in recent weeks, with more than 100 Russian drones and missiles flying near these plants recently, according to Energoatom, the Ukrainian state-owned nuclear company. This activity has created an unprecedented safety threat to Ukraine and Europe. Senior US officials, including National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, have expressed fears of potential Russian strikes on Ukrainian nuclear plants.
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Open distribution devices • 25%
Transmission substations • 25%
Nuclear reactors • 25%
Other • 25%
No strikes occur • 25%
Minor damage to facilities • 25%
Significant damage to facilities • 25%
Complete destruction of a facility • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Drones • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No strikes • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
Significant damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Artillery shelling • 25%
Other • 25%
Shahed drones • 25%
Guided bombs • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Drones • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Ground forces • 25%
Other • 25%