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What will be the morale status of Hamas operatives as reported by the IDF by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly Improved • 25%
Somewhat Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Official reports from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and news reports
Story
IDF Reports Progress in Dismantling 25 Hamas Tunnels Along Gaza-Egypt Border, Rafah Area
Jul 17, 2024, 10:53 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have reported significant progress in their efforts to locate and dismantle Hamas's network of cross-border smuggling tunnels along the Gaza-Egypt border. According to the IDF, approximately 25 tunnels have been discovered so far, and the search is expected to take several more months to complete. Hamas operatives are reportedly struggling to remain hidden in tunnels for extended periods and are moving above ground to hide among civilians, suffering from severe morale issues. The IDF has released footage showing Hamas operatives uncovering a tunnel shaft in a residential apartment. Additionally, the IDF has completed the demolition of a Hamas attack tunnel used by four terrorists in an attempted infiltration into Israel in June from the Rafah area. The Combat Engineering Unit has been actively involved in these operations.
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Less than 50 • 25%
50-100 • 25%
101-200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Less than 15,000 • 25%
15,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,000 to 25,000 • 25%
More than 25,000 • 25%
Fully Destroyed • 25%
Severely Degraded • 25%
Moderately Degraded • 25%
Not Significantly Degraded • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Elimination of a high-ranking commander • 25%
Neutralization of a terror cell • 25%
Capture of key intelligence • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
Slightly weakened • 25%
Not weakened • 25%
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No • 50%
Sinwar remains in power • 25%
New Hamas leader • 25%
Interim leadership • 25%
No clear leadership • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Salah al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Active conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%