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What will be the magnitude of the next significant earthquake in the Bay Area by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 3.0 • 25%
3.0 to 3.9 • 25%
4.0 to 4.9 • 25%
5.0 or greater • 25%
USGS earthquake reports
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3.9-Magnitude Earthquake Hits Concord in Bay Area, No Damage or Injuries Reported
Jan 12, 2025, 05:06 PM
A magnitude 3.9 earthquake struck near Concord in the Bay Area on Sunday morning, according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The quake occurred at 8:49 a.m. and was centered 0.7 miles east-southeast of Concord. No damage or injuries were reported following the event. Earlier in the week, on Friday morning, a separate 3.7-magnitude earthquake was recorded west of San Francisco, also with no reported damage or injuries.
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Less than 4.0 • 25%
6.0 or higher • 25%
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5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
Less than 5.0 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
6.0 to 6.9 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
None • 25%
1 to 2 • 25%
3 to 5 • 25%
6.0 to 6.9 • 25%
Less than 5.0 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
6.0 to 6.9 • 25%
Less than 5.0 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
Other Bay Area locations • 25%
Oakland • 25%
San Francisco • 25%
San Jose • 25%
Less than 4.0 • 25%
6.0 or higher • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
4.0 to 4.9 • 25%