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Market
What will be the likelihood of further escalations between Israel and Syria following the drone strike by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements from both governments
Story
Prominent Assad Ally Muhammad Baraa Al-Qaterji Killed in Israeli Drone Strike Near Damascus-Syrian Border
Jul 15, 2024, 04:03 PM
Syrian businessman Muhammad Baraa Al-Qaterji, a prominent supporter of Bashar al-Assad and listed on international sanctions, was killed in an Israeli airstrike near the Syrian-Lebanese border. The strike targeted his car on the Damascus-Al Saboura road, reportedly involving a drone. Al-Qaterji was known for controlling oil and gas resources in Syria through his militia. The attack occurred on the outskirts of Damascus and was confirmed by three security sources.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without military action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo • 25%