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What will be the international response to the Lebanese presidential election by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
No response • 25%
Statements from the U.S. State Department, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or other major international bodies
Story
White House Seeks to Elect New Lebanese President Amid Hezbollah Weakness, Following Israel's Blow: Axios
Oct 4, 2024, 03:36 PM
The White House is aiming to leverage Hezbollah's current weakness, following a significant blow to its leadership and infrastructure by Israel, to facilitate the election of a new Lebanese president in the coming days. U.S. officials see this as an opportunity to break the two-year deadlock in Lebanon's presidential election. One candidate being considered is General Joseph Aoun, the commander of the Lebanese armed forces, who has the backing of the U.S. and France. The Biden administration's strategy is to elect a president not allied with Hezbollah, prioritizing this over a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. This information was reported by Axios, highlighting the urgency before a diplomatic solution with Israel.
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UN intervention • 25%
NATO intervention • 25%
Bilateral peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for Peace Talks • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
No significant reaction • 33%
Condemnation by major Western countries • 33%
Support from other regional organizations • 33%
UN resolution supporting ceasefire • 25%
EU sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
US mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Strong support and endorsement • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Neutral or no significant response • 25%
Criticism or opposition • 25%
Condemn Hezbollah • 25%
Take military action against Hezbollah • 25%
Do nothing • 25%
Other • 25%
UN will issue a condemnation • 25%
EU will impose sanctions • 25%
US will support Israel's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No stabilization • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Venezuela • 25%
Call for new elections • 25%
Mediation offer • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support expressed • 25%
No significant response • 25%