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What will be the international response to the alleged Iranian-backed plot to assassinate Israeli officials by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by both UN and EU • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Official statements from relevant international bodies (UN, EU, etc.)
Story
Israeli Citizen Arrested for Alleged Iranian-Backed Plot to Assassinate Netanyahu and Gallant
Sep 19, 2024, 06:40 AM
An Israeli citizen has been arrested for allegedly being recruited by Iran to assassinate high profile Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar. The suspect, an Israeli Jewish businessman in his 70s, was reportedly smuggled into Iran twice and received payment for the assassination missions. The arrest took place last month in August, and the suspect had been living in Turkey for years. The Israeli security services, including the Shin Bet and police, disclosed the thwarted plot in a joint statement.
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Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for Investigation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
Moderate condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Bolsonaro • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased US military aid to Israel • 25%
EU diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Support for Iran • 25%
Call for investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
UN condemns Iran • 25%
New sanctions by other countries • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from Western allies • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased sanctions by EU • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
UN sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant response • 25%