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What will be the international response to potential escalation in Ukraine by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Statements from NATO, the United Nations, or major international news outlets
Story
Putin Says Russia Should Have Launched Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine Earlier Than February 2022 During Live Event
Dec 19, 2024, 01:55 PM
During a recent live event, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that the decision to launch the special military operation in Ukraine should have been made earlier than February 2022. He expressed that a more systematic preparation for the operation was necessary. Reflecting on the past three years, Putin acknowledged the challenges faced by Russia and himself, asserting that if he could revisit the situation in 2022, he would advocate for an earlier invasion rather than waiting for Russia's position to deteriorate. This sentiment was echoed in multiple reports, emphasizing that Putin believes the offensive should have commenced sooner.
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Similar markets
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic intervention to de-escalate • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions against both countries • 25%
No significant sanctions • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic pressure on Russia for de-escalation • 25%
Sanctions or economic measures against Russia • 25%
No significant change in international response • 25%
Increased sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military intervention or support • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%