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What will be the international response to Iranian-backed militias entering Syria by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from the United Nations, U.S., EU, or other major international bodies
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Iran-Backed Militias from Iraq Enter Syria to Aid Assad's Forces
Dec 2, 2024, 07:39 AM
Iranian-backed militias, including Iraq’s Kataib Hezbollah and Fatemiyoun groups, have entered Syria from Iraq overnight to reinforce Syrian government forces battling insurgents in the northern regions of the country. According to two Syrian military sources, dozens of Hashd al-Shaabi fighters crossed near Al Bukamal, with reinforcements heading to the northern frontlines. This move is seen as an effort to bolster the beleaguered Syrian army against ongoing rebel offensives.
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Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Support or neutrality • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other response • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from the US • 25%
Sanctions imposed by EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
US military intervention • 25%
UN imposes sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of offensive • 25%
Support for opposition • 25%
Calls for ceasefire/negotiation • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Sanctions on Assad • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%