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What will be the international reaction to U.S. sanctions on ICC by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Statements from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Plans Sanctions Against ICC Over Arrest Warrants for Israeli Leaders, Targeting Over 90% of African Indictments by January 20
Jan 4, 2025, 05:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is preparing to impose sanctions on the International Criminal Court (ICC) in response to its recent arrest warrants for Israeli leaders. These sanctions, which could target individual ICC personnel including judges, are expected to be announced shortly after Trump's inauguration on January 20. The ICC's actions have raised concerns about selective justice, as over 90% of its indictments have historically targeted African leaders. This situation has sparked debates regarding the court's legitimacy and its role as an impartial arbiter in international law.
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Similar markets
Mixed • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
General support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No major sanctions imposed • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
China imposes sanctions • 25%
Russia imposes sanctions • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Legal action against the U.S. • 25%
Other response • 25%
Condemn ICC decision • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support ICC decision • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for Diplomacy • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Criticism of U.S. actions • 25%
Increased support for U.S. stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Funding increased • 25%
Complete funding cut • 25%
Partial funding cut • 25%
No change in funding • 25%